Larimer, MarySong, Frank2025-10-022025-10-022025-10-022025Song_washington_0250E_28710.pdfhttps://hdl.handle.net/1773/54112Thesis (Ph.D.)--University of Washington, 2025Problem gambling is a significant public health concern linked to profound behavioral health consequences, particularly for young adults who are affected by higher vulnerability to risky behaviors. In the backdrop of online gambling's growing popularity, speculative short-term trading of stocks and cryptocurrencies (e.g., Bitcoin) have seen major gains in popularity among young adults. Emerging evidence suggests speculative trading entails many of the same risks and harms as traditional gambling, warranting efforts to explore and minimize trading-related health harms. The present study investigated behavioral health and substance use correlates of young adult speculative trading through a longitudinal study design utilizing generalized linear mixed models (GLMMs). The study aimed to 1) evaluate between-person associations between trading and health indices, 2) assess within-person associations between trading and health indices, and 3) explore moderators of the relationship between trading and health indices based on theoretically supported links. We hypothesized that greater speculative trading activity would predict greater depression, anxiety, and substance use behaviors at both between-person and within-person levels. The results demonstrated a positive between-person association between trading frequency and nicotine use intensity. They also highlighted the roles of financial stress, sensation seeking, perceived norms and attitudes towards trading in moderating trading's connections to behavioral health and substance use. Descriptive statistics from the study yielded additional key insights into trading behaviors and related harms in our cohort of young adults. Theoretically and empirically supported explanations and potential implications are discussed. The current study serves as the first of its kind known to assess the longitudinal associations between speculative trading activities and health correlates among young adults.application/pdfen-USCC BYBitcoinCryptocurrencyGamblingNicotineProblem gamblingStock tradingClinical psychologyPsychologyMental healthPsychology A Longitudinal Study of Speculative Trading Activities and Health Correlates in Young AdultsThesis