Future Forests of Bainbridge Island; Climate Change Vulnerability and Continuing Progressive Management

Abstract

Forests continue to be of immense significance to Bainbridge Island’s sense of place, as well as to supporting essential functions in this eco-region. This thesis process investigated, evaluated, and compiled conditions of three stratified sites across Bainbridge Island; presents a vulnerability assessment model; and develops a management continuum for progressive action. Climate change is presently altering the physical and biological conditions that influence forest character at varying degrees across the island. Environmental impacts include increased tree mortality and modified forest disturbance regimes. Using GIS as a tool for spatial analysis, I identify probable physical vulnerabilities, then develop and apply a survey protocol to reveal canopy conditions and changes using a small Unmanned Aerial Vehicle (sUAV) drone and mapping technologies. Suggested management action is focused on tree selection and planting strategies, presenting a catalog of suitable species across a “progressive management” intervention spectrum.